A leading British mathematician is predicting the “exponential decline” of the Catholic Church in England and Wales by 2050, as it becomes increasingly woke in its embrace of progressive ideology.
Using epidemiological modeling, which is designed to calculate the number of persons infected with a contagious illness in a closed population over time, Dr. John Hayward computes that with a current “reproduction potential of 0.91,” the Catholic Church in England and Wales “will eventually become extinct.”
Noting that the decline in attendance at Holy Mass is “accelerating,” Hayward predicts that “in the worst-case scenario, the … church will be extinct by 2048.” Indeed, according to the visiting mathematics fellow at the University of South Wales, “The church’s future will likely lie somewhere between linear and exponential decline.”
Hayward argues that the critical factors hastening church extinction are a lack of enthusiasm in making converts and an openness to cultural Marxism, critical race theory, the sexual revolution and the LGBTQ+ agenda.
“To date, no growing church has adopted same-sex ‘marriage,’” Hayward writes, noting that all growing denominations hold firmly to historic Christianity and have statements affirming that marriage is between a man and a woman only.
Moreover, growing churches demonstrate a confidence in the authority of Scripture, which “enables them to stand against progressive ideology and drives their efforts in making disciples,” observes the statistician and founder of the Church Growth Modeling site.