It was three weeks ago when journalists combing obituary pages in Prime Minister Na-rendra Modi’s home state of Gujarat found authorities were concealing Covid-19 deaths that people started asking hard questions about the real number of Indian coronavirus fatalities. Now, epidemiologists and scientists around the world are struggling to solve the question.
The latest to enter the fray is top epidemiologist Bhramar Mukherjee, who holds the biostatistics chair at the University of Michigan. She calculates that 1.2 million Indians had died and 495 million had been infected by the virus up to mid-May. These fatality and infection totals contained in her preprint study, meaning it still must be peer-reviewed, are vastly higher than the government’s numbers which showed a cumu-lative 25 million Covid cases and 270,000 deaths on May 15.
“I’ve tried to be very con-servative in terms of the assu-mptions we’ve made in the mathematical model.”